Daily Mortgage Rate Analysis

Expert analysis of U.S. mortgage rate movements, updated every market day with data-driven insights.

Updated May 15, 2026 Trusted Since 1998
30-Year Fixed
6.38%
Most Popular
15-Year Fixed
5.71%
Best for Refinance
5/1 ARM
6.22%
Adjustable Rate

What Are Today's Mortgage Rates?

As of May 15, 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.38% and the 15-year fixed rate sits at 5.71%. Mortgage Daily tracks rate movements every market day using official Federal Reserve data, Freddie Mac surveys, and real-time MBS pricing — giving homebuyers and refinancers the most current picture of borrowing costs.

Daily rate fluctuations are driven by Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation reports (CPI and PCE), jobs data, Treasury yield movements, and global economic events. Understanding these factors helps borrowers time their mortgage applications and lock decisions. For a detailed breakdown, read our full daily rate report ›

Recent Daily Rate Analysis

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How We Analyze Mortgage Rates

Authoritative Data Sources

We use official data from the Federal Reserve (FRED), Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, Treasury yields, and MBS pricing for accurate, reliable rate information.

Daily Market Updates

Rate analysis published every market day by 10:00 AM ET. Weekend editions provide forward-looking analysis based on economic calendars and Fed communications.

Expert Economic Analysis

Our team analyzes Fed policy, inflation data (CPI/PCE), employment reports, and global factors to explain what's driving rate movements.

Editorial Standards

All content is reviewed for accuracy by our editorial team. We maintain strict separation between news and advertising. View our methodology

Frequently Asked Questions

What is today's 30-year fixed mortgage rate?
As of May 15, 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.38%. This rate is based on Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey data and updates weekly, while daily movements are tracked through Treasury yields and MBS pricing. Your actual rate will depend on your credit score, down payment, loan amount, and lender.
Are mortgage rates going up or down?
Mortgage rate direction depends on several economic factors including Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, and employment reports. Check our daily analysis above for the latest trend direction. We update our rate analysis every market day by 10:00 AM ET with expert commentary on what's driving movements.
What is a good mortgage rate right now?
A "good" rate is one that's at or below the current national average for your loan type. Today, rates below 6.38% for a 30-year fixed or below 5.71% for a 15-year fixed would be considered competitive. Borrowers with excellent credit (740+), a 20%+ down payment, and strong income documentation typically qualify for the best available rates.
Should I lock my mortgage rate today?
Whether to lock depends on your closing timeline and risk tolerance. If you're closing within 30-60 days and the current rate meets your budget, locking removes the risk of rate increases. Many lenders also offer float-down options that let you benefit if rates drop after locking. Read our daily analysis for current market guidance on locking vs. floating.
How often do mortgage rates change?
Mortgage rates can change multiple times per day based on bond market movements. Lenders typically set rates each morning and may reprice mid-day if markets move significantly. Freddie Mac publishes its widely-cited weekly survey every Thursday, while Mortgage Daily provides daily analysis based on real-time market data to help you track movements between official surveys.
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